Just How Hard is University to Overcome
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Here is an example of where the stats are really hard to make useful...
Take high school level home schoolers. There are two primary groups that do this, one is the group that doesn't trust education and wants their kids to not be exposed to the school system. Mostly this is the religious group and mostly they do it to shield kids from information.
The other, also distrusting the education system, feel that the education system is too "teach to the middle" or doesn't specialize enough or is just too "easy" and slow so teach their kids at home so that they can move faster, focus on topics of relevance, learn more, etc.
Statistically, there is no reasonable means of determining which group is which as they are just "homeschoolers". But it's clear to see that one group is likely to vastly outperform the market and the other is likely to vastly under-perform. But we have no means of proving who came from which group.
Same with college skippers or even high school drop outs. The top performers, those flying in their private jets and making ten figure salaries, are lost in a sea of people who just couldn't handle going to PE class or whatever. Those that struggle with the material and those bored with how uninformed their teachers are get statistically put together.
But in looking at your career and the advantage of education for a career, we know only the high performing group is the one we are interested in the stats on. But have no reasonable means to acquire those stats.
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@scottalanmiller said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
Does college have value? yes and know.
There's the T-shirt people!
Not what SAM intended I'm sure, but... -
@worden2 said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
@scottalanmiller said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
Does college have value? yes and know.
There's the T-shirt people!
Not what SAM intended I'm sure, but...LOL
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Good time for this...
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So the other two-thirds did?
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That tells me you're more likely to be a billionaire if you graduated college.
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@tim_g I don't think one or the other is a good predictor of an outcome. It just shows there isn't a strong correlation.
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@mike-davis said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
@tim_g I don't think one or the other is a good predictor of an outcome. It just shows there isn't a strong correlation.
Well it says that more than half (60%) of the world's billionaires did graduate college.
I do realize that statistic by itself is inconclusive, but it still shows that your more likely to be a billionaire if you graduate college.
It is a meme... so it may not even be true. I never verified it.
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@tim_g said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
@mike-davis said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
@tim_g I don't think one or the other is a good predictor of an outcome. It just shows there isn't a strong correlation.
Well it says that more than half (60%) of the world's billionaires did graduate college.
I do realize that statistic by itself is inconclusive, but it still shows that your more likely to be a billionaire if you graduate college.
It is a meme... so it may not even be true. I never verified it.
Or if you are a billionaire, you more than likely have the privilege to go to college as it is already paid for by your family.
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@irj said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
@tim_g said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
@mike-davis said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
@tim_g I don't think one or the other is a good predictor of an outcome. It just shows there isn't a strong correlation.
Well it says that more than half (60%) of the world's billionaires did graduate college.
I do realize that statistic by itself is inconclusive, but it still shows that your more likely to be a billionaire if you graduate college.
It is a meme... so it may not even be true. I never verified it.
Or if you are a billionaire, you more than likely have the privilege to go to college as it is already paid for by your family.
Anyone can go to college. The poorer you are the more likely it is to be free... where you even get money for gas and such.
The privilege part is whether or not you have the means to go to college... such as a car, time, ability to put kids in child care so you can go, live in a place that even has college access, etc...
Your social life matters too... if you are surrounded by and are friends with people who only care about gangs and drugs and not about success, you probably won't go to college either. It has a lot to do with up-bringing.
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@tim_g said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
@irj said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
@tim_g said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
@mike-davis said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
@tim_g I don't think one or the other is a good predictor of an outcome. It just shows there isn't a strong correlation.
Well it says that more than half (60%) of the world's billionaires did graduate college.
I do realize that statistic by itself is inconclusive, but it still shows that your more likely to be a billionaire if you graduate college.
It is a meme... so it may not even be true. I never verified it.
Or if you are a billionaire, you more than likely have the privilege to go to college as it is already paid for by your family.
Anyone can go to college. The poorer you are the more likely it is to be free... where you even get money for gas and such.
The privilege part is whether or not you have the means to go to college... such as a car, time, ability to put kids in child care so you can go, live in a place that even has college access, etc...
Your social life matters too... if you are surrounded by and are friends with people who only care about gangs and drugs and not about success, you probably won't go to college either. It has a lot to do with up-bringing.
The real question that has to be asked, would the Billionaires who went to college, be a billionaire if they didn't go to college. That then gets to the crux of the issue.
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@penguinwrangler said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
@tim_g said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
@irj said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
@tim_g said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
@mike-davis said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
@tim_g I don't think one or the other is a good predictor of an outcome. It just shows there isn't a strong correlation.
Well it says that more than half (60%) of the world's billionaires did graduate college.
I do realize that statistic by itself is inconclusive, but it still shows that your more likely to be a billionaire if you graduate college.
It is a meme... so it may not even be true. I never verified it.
Or if you are a billionaire, you more than likely have the privilege to go to college as it is already paid for by your family.
Anyone can go to college. The poorer you are the more likely it is to be free... where you even get money for gas and such.
The privilege part is whether or not you have the means to go to college... such as a car, time, ability to put kids in child care so you can go, live in a place that even has college access, etc...
Your social life matters too... if you are surrounded by and are friends with people who only care about gangs and drugs and not about success, you probably won't go to college either. It has a lot to do with up-bringing.
The real question that has to be asked, would the Billionaires who went to college, be a billionaire if they didn't go to college. That then gets to the crux of the issue.
There is simply no way to know, so shouldn't be asked.
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There are 540 Billionaires in America. There are 205 million working-age adults (source:https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LFWA64TTUSM647S), Approximately 40% of them have a degree (source: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/education/percentage-americans-college-degrees-rises-paying-degrees-tops-financial-challenges) so do the math it comes out to 82 Million. 60% of the Billionaires have college degrees so that means 324 people with a college degree are billionaires. So the chance someone with a college degree becomes a billionaire is 0.000003951219512195121951219512195122 I wouldn't say that a college degree is a contributing factor to their success, it can be part of it though. Most often self-made billionaires are a special breed of people, I would say if you look at their traits as a person it would show what really caused them to succeed. This also doesn't make a difference between self-made billionaires and inherited fortunes.
@scottalanmiller correct me if I am wrong, your argument is that a college degree is not needed and often ends up financially hurting the individual and I do believe the numbers back that up. Someone can be successful without a college degree and not be poor and have no opportunity. I believe we do need to push back against the idea that college and/or military is the only option for someone. That was the impression I had. I wish someone would have shown me a different way.
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@penguinwrangler said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
So the chance someone with a college degree becomes a billionaire is 0.000003951219512195121951219512195122
Right, and the chances of someone without a college degree to become a billionaire is even less.
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When it comes right down to it, I think those of us that know what we know have to talk to young people facing that decision and show them an alternative to what the college institution is going to show them. We have to tell the student to look at the decision like an investment and justify the decision that way.
Encourage them to read books like Rich Dad, Poor Dad and think about investments instead of just listening to the mantra that if you go to college you'll earn more money.
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@mike-davis said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
Rich Dad, Poor Dad
Not really that great of a book, beyond arguing people should pay attention to cashflow, and invest in things that earn interest. Kiyosaki is a fraud. Idiot was preaching to buy Gold in 2015 and get out of the market. His obsession with slumlord rental properties is just a step above "flip this house" scaminars.
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@tim_g Billionaires are outliers. Using them as a straw-man for college success or not vs. actual data is.... well a bad idea.
I'd also point out that some of the tech ones (Gates, Jobs) still went to college, and built their initial network there. Maybe they didn't need to graduate, but the first 2 years of classes (and more importantly) connections got them where they are now.
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@storageninja said in Just How Hard is University to Overcome:
Billionaires are outliers. Using them as a straw-man for college success or not vs. actual data is.... well a bad idea
I'm doing nothing more than stating a simple fact based on a statistical number.
